Extrapolated Finish Position & Points For QPR
Oct 1, 2018 14:21:24 GMT
Post by kingfisher on Oct 1, 2018 14:21:24 GMT
Based upon the games played to date and the points accrued we can extrapolate an indication of our final tally of points, so here goes…
Games Played To Date: __10___
Points Accrued To Date: __10____
Extrapolated Points Tally: 46 – 10 games played already = 36 remaining and total points to date/games played = 1.0 (which is 0.3 pergame less than last season). So 36 x 1.0 = 36; adding on the 10 points won already = 46 points
Automatic Promotion: On average, over the past 29 seasons 83 points were required, although in recent years the figure has been higher. When Brighton missed out on goal difference to Middlesbrough they had 89 points. However, in other seasons, 75 points has been good enough to secure promotion, as happened in the 1993/94 campaign. In the 2017/18 season the second spot was achieved by 90 points and that was Cardiff. QPR’s projected points tally is 46 points
Play-offs: On average 73 points has been needed to get that sixth place and thus participate in the Play-offs. So when Wolves finished in seventh place with 78 points that would have been enough in every other season. Instead they were tied with fifth placed Brentford. In other years, such as 2005/06, a total as low as 68 points would have been enough! In the season 2017/17 the four sides involved were Fulham (88 points); Aston Villa (83); Middlesbrough (76); and Derby (75). QPR’s projected points tally is 46 points
Survival: The average number of points needed to survive is 48. However, in the 2012/13 season Peterborough was relegated on 54 points (which is the highest number of points attained by a relegation side). In contrast, the 2015/16 season saw just 41 points being needed to escape relegation! In the majority of seasons 51 points was good enough to stay up, but that is exactly what Blackburn managed last season, so they must be considered unfortunate to have been relegated. In the 2017/18 season the following were relegated: Barnsley (41 points); Burton (41); and Sunderland (37). So 42 points would have been enough to see you survive. QPR’s projected points tally is 46 points
League Champions: Looking back over the past 29 seasons, when the league returned to a 24-team format, the average points required to win the league is 88. However, in the last four years teams have needed 90 points or more to lift the trophy; whereas in the 2012/13 season just 80 points secured the title! In the 2017/18 season Wolves romped home with 99 points. QPR’s projected points tally is 46 points
So, to sum up, we would not be competing for an automatic promotion or a Play-off place and, on current form, we could be relegated! If all things were equal and we are to consider QPR’s projected points tally of 46 points against last season’s table positions we would achieve…. 19th (which just happens to be where we currently reside)! Because of the January Transfer embargo, can I suggest that the anticipated return of Hall & Furlong is the only positive to influence our league position? Last season we achieved only 16th on 56 points, so does 19th on 46 points seem acceptable to anyone? Does it make a mockery of replacing Ian Holloway for a manager who achieves less, or are we not comparing ‘like with like’?
Please vote in the poll to declare your optimism or pessimism!
Games Played To Date: __10___
Points Accrued To Date: __10____
Extrapolated Points Tally: 46 – 10 games played already = 36 remaining and total points to date/games played = 1.0 (which is 0.3 pergame less than last season). So 36 x 1.0 = 36; adding on the 10 points won already = 46 points
Automatic Promotion: On average, over the past 29 seasons 83 points were required, although in recent years the figure has been higher. When Brighton missed out on goal difference to Middlesbrough they had 89 points. However, in other seasons, 75 points has been good enough to secure promotion, as happened in the 1993/94 campaign. In the 2017/18 season the second spot was achieved by 90 points and that was Cardiff. QPR’s projected points tally is 46 points
Play-offs: On average 73 points has been needed to get that sixth place and thus participate in the Play-offs. So when Wolves finished in seventh place with 78 points that would have been enough in every other season. Instead they were tied with fifth placed Brentford. In other years, such as 2005/06, a total as low as 68 points would have been enough! In the season 2017/17 the four sides involved were Fulham (88 points); Aston Villa (83); Middlesbrough (76); and Derby (75). QPR’s projected points tally is 46 points
Survival: The average number of points needed to survive is 48. However, in the 2012/13 season Peterborough was relegated on 54 points (which is the highest number of points attained by a relegation side). In contrast, the 2015/16 season saw just 41 points being needed to escape relegation! In the majority of seasons 51 points was good enough to stay up, but that is exactly what Blackburn managed last season, so they must be considered unfortunate to have been relegated. In the 2017/18 season the following were relegated: Barnsley (41 points); Burton (41); and Sunderland (37). So 42 points would have been enough to see you survive. QPR’s projected points tally is 46 points
League Champions: Looking back over the past 29 seasons, when the league returned to a 24-team format, the average points required to win the league is 88. However, in the last four years teams have needed 90 points or more to lift the trophy; whereas in the 2012/13 season just 80 points secured the title! In the 2017/18 season Wolves romped home with 99 points. QPR’s projected points tally is 46 points
So, to sum up, we would not be competing for an automatic promotion or a Play-off place and, on current form, we could be relegated! If all things were equal and we are to consider QPR’s projected points tally of 46 points against last season’s table positions we would achieve…. 19th (which just happens to be where we currently reside)! Because of the January Transfer embargo, can I suggest that the anticipated return of Hall & Furlong is the only positive to influence our league position? Last season we achieved only 16th on 56 points, so does 19th on 46 points seem acceptable to anyone? Does it make a mockery of replacing Ian Holloway for a manager who achieves less, or are we not comparing ‘like with like’?
Please vote in the poll to declare your optimism or pessimism!
